Expect M&A activity in a Greek market buffeted by
declining new business, reports
Fred
Crawley

The Greek lease market saw new lending fall by 10.6 percent over
2008. Of the country’s 15 lessors, all owned by banks, the greatest
cuts were seen by the 2nd, 3rd and 4th largest (Cyprus, Piraeus and
Alpha Leasing), which between them were responsible for cuts
equivalent to 92 percent of total decline in new business.

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Market leader EFG Leasing saw a
relatively mild 6 percent drop, while significant gains were seen
by the country’s “second rank”: Emporiki Leasing (part owned by
Crédit Agricole), Greek Agricultural Bank subsidiary ATE Leasing,
and the leasing arm of Attica Bank, which upped volumes by 46
percent.

With Greece’s GDP expected to rise by
less than one percent in 2009, challenges alongside general
liquidity constraint include a drop in construction and
manufacturing business, inflexible public sector expenditure and
the rising cost of funding through mid-to-long-term loans.

On the other hand, despite the
industry’s reliance on real estate, sale and leaseback of corporate
premises has provided a lifeline for many. Also, because of the
long-term nature of these leases, the pace of Greece’s overall
portfolio decrease is lower than other countries experiencing
similar levels of new-business shrinkage.

Sources within the market strongly
suggest banking sector mergers will bring at least two leasing
companies together during 2009, with the National Bank still
thought to be sniffing out acquisition targets after speculation
about a possible deal with Piraeus last year.

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At a glance: Greek leasing
market by asset type, sector and region

Division criteria

Total business written in 2008
(€m)

Proportion of overall business
(%)

Total business written in 2007
(€m)

Proportion of overall business
(%)

By asset type

Real estate

1,363

53.15

1,656

57.65

Machinery & equipment

485

18.90

453

17.45

Office equipment

119

4.65

108

3.40

Trucks & buses

275

10.73

308

9.06

Vehicles

167

6.52

219

9.01

Other

155

6.05

126

3.42

Total

2,565

 

2,869

 

By lessee sector

Manufacturing

334

13

396

19

Commerce

844

33

645

26

Services

892

35

1,067

32

Other activities

495

19

760

23

Total

2,565

 

2,869

 

By region

Attica Area

1,740

67.83

2,043

64.77

Northern Greece

299

11.65

346

14.42

Central Greece

172

6.70

149

6.28

Other Areas

355

13.82

331

14.52

Total

2,565

 

2,869

 

Source: Leasing Life

 

The top 10: Greek leasing
companies ranked by finance lease business volume

Rank

Company

Ownership

Foundation

New business 2008 (€m)

New business 2007 (€m)

Y-o-y change (%)

Portfolio on 31.12.08

Portfolio on 31.12.07

Y-o-y change (%)

1

EFG Leasing

EFG Eurobank 100%

1999

508

539

-5.8

1,629

1,535

6.1

2

Cyprus Leasing

Bank of Cyprus 100%

1997

415

504

-17.7

1,372

1,360

0.9

3

Piraeus Leasing

Piraeus Bank 100%

1993

389

478

-18.6

1,288

1,237

4.1

4

Alpha Leasing

Alpha Bank 100%

1987

305

406

-24.9

1,291

1,194

8.1

5

Ethniki Leasing

National Bank of Greece 100%

1990

222

229

-3.1

810

704

15.1

6

Emporiki
Leasing

Emporiki Bank 80%, Crédit Agricole Leasing
20%

1989

200

171

17.0

596

495

20.4

7

ATE Leasing

Agriculture Bank of Greece 100%

1991

136

105

29.5

420

341

23.2

8

Attica Leasing

Attica Bank 100%

2001

111

76

46.1

208

150

38.7

9

Marfin Leasing

Marfin Bank 100%,
through merger of two existing leasing companies Egnatia Leasing
(2000) & Laiki Leasing

2007

95

109

-12.8

350

370

-5.4

10

Probank Leasing

Probank 100%

2001

64

49

30.6

182

165

10.3

Note: Greek Leasing companies ranked by
finance lease business volume Source: Leasing Life